Some NFL teams made some moves this week and the Carolina Panthers were one of them. The Carolina Panthers are my adopted NFL team. I grew up in Georgia, so naturally I rooted for the Atlanta Falcons growing up. I'm now a Carolina Panthers PSL owner and go to as many games as I can.
This week they cut Dan Morgan and Mike Wahle. Morgan has been hurt for most of his tenure and it was a complete shock when the Panthers gave him an extension 2 years ago. Wahle was cut due to salary cap reason. The Panthers need a lot of help this off-season. They are a .500 team at best right now and their record the past 2 years have shown it. Poor drafting, injuries, and poor player personnel decisions have caused their demise from NFC contender to pretender. The NFC is not as stacked as the AFC, so one good off-season can put almost any NFC team back into title contention.
This may be one of the biggest off-seasons ever for the Panthers. How is Delhomme's rehab going? Was Julius Peppers under-achieving season a sign of things to come? How do the Panthers handle his contract, which is set to expire? How do they handle the aging Jenkins and Rucker on the defensive line? With the release of Wahle, there is not much depth at OL. Ken Lucas has declined every year since he got here. What to do about DeShaun Foster? Will the Panthers ever get a good 2nd receiver?
I expect the Panthers to cut Colbert and Foster this off-season. Just makes sense. Colbert is obvious. Foster is aging and declining and could use the cap space. DeAngelo Williams is ready to take on full-time role. The toughest thing is deciding on how much to give Peppers. I don't think he should get Top 5 money. He is reminding me of Jevon Kearse. Kearse was defined as 'The Freak' in Tennessee his rookie year. Had a good first few years. Then, the Philadelphia Eagles got him for big bucks at about the same stage Peppers is at now and has under achieved. This year's draft will make or break the team. Their biggest needs are DL and Secondary help. They desperately need a #2 receiver, but maybe Jarrett can live up to his potential. I'm sure they'll signed a veteran receiver in the off-season. If this year's draft turns out to be a bust, we can say bye-bye to Fox and Hurney.
Friday, February 15, 2008
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
Numero UNO the Underdog
Normally I don't watch the Westminster Dog Show, but this year there is a big buzz about a Beagle named Uno. We have a beagle name Poker. No, I didn't name him. We adopted him from the pound at 8 months old about 4 years ago. My wife has always loved beagles and I thought it was fate that we adopt a dog named Poker. A beagle has never won Best In Show, which is the top prize at the dog show. He will be the true Underdog (A Beagle was used as Underdog last year, the superhero dog). Beagles are great dogs. Very fun-loving, very loyal, can be stubborn at times due to his nose getting in trouble. They are not big, so they can't get over aggressive. Kids love beagles because they are playful. Women love beagles because they are very good looking dogs, mainly due to their color scheme. Of course, Snoopy was a beagle. As a lot of the media outlets are saying, it would be great that an All-American dog wins rather than the fluffy fru-fru dogs. Myself, my wife and Poker will be rooting for Uno tonight.
Picks for Tonight:
UNC -8.5 (UVA is in a big time funk)
Butler -6 (Recommended by a friend)
Picks for Tonight:
UNC -8.5 (UVA is in a big time funk)
Butler -6 (Recommended by a friend)
Monday, February 11, 2008
UNC Goes Down, So Does My Stack
Wednesday Night's FTOPS Event #1 started at 9:00, coincidentally, the UNC-Duke game started at the same time. Even though this was a $750K Guarantee, there were so many entrants that the prize pool was well over $1 million. The structure was as follows: 3000 chips, 12 minute blinds. 5300 players in, payout was top 730. This was the 3rd time I've played in an online tourney this magnitude. I played in 2 Party Poker Million tournies 2 years ago. I cashed like the 3rd money level the first time, and busted out 2nd hand the 2nd time when my pocket Aces lost to K-Q preflop. I think I'm a better poker player now than 2 years ago, but I went on a big run that year. I'll take luck over skill if it gets me the money.
There were really only 4 hands to talk about.
1st Hand: Sitting with about 3300 chips at the 2nd level, dealt Kc-Qc in late position. Raised the standard 3X. Small blind calls. Flop comes Ac-Jd-7C. I have the nut flush draw and straight draw with position. Opponent makes a small bet. I haven't shown any aggression yet. I raise hoping to just take it down now. Opponent calls. Not what I wanted from my opponent, but now have to hope my big draw hits. Turn is a 4h. Opponent checks. I continue my bet to represent. My opponent just calls. Now I'm a little confused. I'm thinking, could my opponent be on a flush draw also, or possible straight draw with a hand like Q-10 or K-Q.? Surely if he had a big hand or big Ace, he would have re-raised so I wouldn't catch my draws in case I was drawing. The River is a BlankXXX. Opponent checks again. Now the only way I win this pot is to bet. Even if he's drawing like I was, he can't call a bet. If he re-raises me, I can just fold. I bet a little more than my turn bet. Opponent just calls. He shows Ace-Rag. I was amazed at what he just call, call, call with. Never a re-raised and allowed me to try and catch a hand. Either bad play on his part, or very good read on his part. Can't figure it out. Down to 2200.
2nd Hand: Next level, there was this German who looked weak and inexperience. Playing a lot of pots with marginal hands. He got lucky once in battle of the blinds when he had A-K and the big blind tried to push with A-J and doubled up. I get K-K and raise, he calls in position. Flop 7-5-J. I check, he bets out. I just call. I can probably milk him all the way down was my thought. Turn comes another 5. Now I'm thinking I hope I didn't let him catch by slow playing. I bet out this time to see where I'm at. He just calls. River come K. BINGO! I think a few seconds what I'm going to do. Instead of a value bet, I get over-aggressive and go All-In hoping he had a piece and I really haven't seen him fold a lot at this point in the tourney. My All-In was more than the size of the pot. He calls w/ J-9. Couldn't believe it. Now I've got some Ammo. Up to about 5800.
3rd Hand: Next level, small stack pushes all-in preflop in mid position. I'm on the button with K-Q. It was for about 1500 chips. I decide to call. He shows 7-7. Didn't catch and lose the race. Down to about 4200.
I go card dead at this point. Lots of blackjack hands like 9-2, 8-3, 7-4, etc. Also, lots of A-Rag hands, mainly out of position. I probably didn't play a hand the next 2 levels.
4th Hand: Now I'm starting to get blinded down. This guy at the table called the Birdman goes on a major rush. He doubled-up 3 times in a row. Twice, sucking out. 7-7 beating 9-9. A-J beating A-K. He started pushing every pot. He had A-A and opponent with a good sized stack pushed back with Q-Q. Takes him out. Now he had more chips than everyone else at the table combined. He was like 3rd on the tourney leaderboard with his chip stack. We are now at less than 1/2 way through the field with about 2200-2300 players left, 2.5 hours in. Blinds are 120-240, he's 3 betting every flop. No one has called like 8 hands in a row. UNC has just lost to Duke and so is my bet on UNC down the drain. Any marginal hand and I'm pushing back. Finally, he raises UTG+1 to 720. I get A-10 on the button and make my stand. Of course he shows 8H-5H. I have about 3200 now due to being blinded down. I'm glad he called and have a great shot at a double up. Kind of questioned his call, but with his stack, I guess he got decent odds. 2500 to win 4500. 1 Heart on the Flop, Turn a Heart, River a Heart. I'm done, finito, outta here!
Looking back now, I try to see what I could have done differently. Probably playing the K-Q suited hand different. It was too early in the tourney to get any kind of a read on the opponent, so I probably should have played small ball. Perhaps just play a pot in position with a marginal hand when I was card dead to try and out maneuver my opponent for chips. Tournaments this large, you just don't know what kind of opponents you get. As I saw early, a lot of players were willing to call down with marginal hands. Due to this, I just hoped for big hands and hope I'm up against these type of players a lot. Unfortunately, I didn't get many big hands. Massive field like this, it takes about 3.5 to 4 hours just to cash. The payouts are very staggered and you don't really make good money unless you go very deep. I think there are better opportunities to make money online in the other smaller field tournies. It doesn't take as much time and you're not hoping for a longshot. I thought about trying to play in the Sunday Million. I tried a few freeroll qualifiers and failed. Wasn't going to put in my own to qualify. Maybe another day.
There were really only 4 hands to talk about.
1st Hand: Sitting with about 3300 chips at the 2nd level, dealt Kc-Qc in late position. Raised the standard 3X. Small blind calls. Flop comes Ac-Jd-7C. I have the nut flush draw and straight draw with position. Opponent makes a small bet. I haven't shown any aggression yet. I raise hoping to just take it down now. Opponent calls. Not what I wanted from my opponent, but now have to hope my big draw hits. Turn is a 4h. Opponent checks. I continue my bet to represent. My opponent just calls. Now I'm a little confused. I'm thinking, could my opponent be on a flush draw also, or possible straight draw with a hand like Q-10 or K-Q.? Surely if he had a big hand or big Ace, he would have re-raised so I wouldn't catch my draws in case I was drawing. The River is a BlankXXX. Opponent checks again. Now the only way I win this pot is to bet. Even if he's drawing like I was, he can't call a bet. If he re-raises me, I can just fold. I bet a little more than my turn bet. Opponent just calls. He shows Ace-Rag. I was amazed at what he just call, call, call with. Never a re-raised and allowed me to try and catch a hand. Either bad play on his part, or very good read on his part. Can't figure it out. Down to 2200.
2nd Hand: Next level, there was this German who looked weak and inexperience. Playing a lot of pots with marginal hands. He got lucky once in battle of the blinds when he had A-K and the big blind tried to push with A-J and doubled up. I get K-K and raise, he calls in position. Flop 7-5-J. I check, he bets out. I just call. I can probably milk him all the way down was my thought. Turn comes another 5. Now I'm thinking I hope I didn't let him catch by slow playing. I bet out this time to see where I'm at. He just calls. River come K. BINGO! I think a few seconds what I'm going to do. Instead of a value bet, I get over-aggressive and go All-In hoping he had a piece and I really haven't seen him fold a lot at this point in the tourney. My All-In was more than the size of the pot. He calls w/ J-9. Couldn't believe it. Now I've got some Ammo. Up to about 5800.
3rd Hand: Next level, small stack pushes all-in preflop in mid position. I'm on the button with K-Q. It was for about 1500 chips. I decide to call. He shows 7-7. Didn't catch and lose the race. Down to about 4200.
I go card dead at this point. Lots of blackjack hands like 9-2, 8-3, 7-4, etc. Also, lots of A-Rag hands, mainly out of position. I probably didn't play a hand the next 2 levels.
4th Hand: Now I'm starting to get blinded down. This guy at the table called the Birdman goes on a major rush. He doubled-up 3 times in a row. Twice, sucking out. 7-7 beating 9-9. A-J beating A-K. He started pushing every pot. He had A-A and opponent with a good sized stack pushed back with Q-Q. Takes him out. Now he had more chips than everyone else at the table combined. He was like 3rd on the tourney leaderboard with his chip stack. We are now at less than 1/2 way through the field with about 2200-2300 players left, 2.5 hours in. Blinds are 120-240, he's 3 betting every flop. No one has called like 8 hands in a row. UNC has just lost to Duke and so is my bet on UNC down the drain. Any marginal hand and I'm pushing back. Finally, he raises UTG+1 to 720. I get A-10 on the button and make my stand. Of course he shows 8H-5H. I have about 3200 now due to being blinded down. I'm glad he called and have a great shot at a double up. Kind of questioned his call, but with his stack, I guess he got decent odds. 2500 to win 4500. 1 Heart on the Flop, Turn a Heart, River a Heart. I'm done, finito, outta here!
Looking back now, I try to see what I could have done differently. Probably playing the K-Q suited hand different. It was too early in the tourney to get any kind of a read on the opponent, so I probably should have played small ball. Perhaps just play a pot in position with a marginal hand when I was card dead to try and out maneuver my opponent for chips. Tournaments this large, you just don't know what kind of opponents you get. As I saw early, a lot of players were willing to call down with marginal hands. Due to this, I just hoped for big hands and hope I'm up against these type of players a lot. Unfortunately, I didn't get many big hands. Massive field like this, it takes about 3.5 to 4 hours just to cash. The payouts are very staggered and you don't really make good money unless you go very deep. I think there are better opportunities to make money online in the other smaller field tournies. It doesn't take as much time and you're not hoping for a longshot. I thought about trying to play in the Sunday Million. I tried a few freeroll qualifiers and failed. Wasn't going to put in my own to qualify. Maybe another day.
Wednesday, February 6, 2008
Full Tilt Satellite
Last night, I played in a satellite into Event #1 of the FTOPS. It was a $69+6 SNG which gave away 3 seats in this 9 man satellite. Entrance into Event #1 is $200+15. The event is tonight (Wednesday) at 9 PM EST. Guaranteed prize pool of $750,000.
One of the guys (Kramer) wanted to do this satellite with all the guys from our Wednesday night game. He got 6 respondents. We decided we would log into Full Tilt at around 10-10:30 and all jump in the same satellite. Everyone would have a 5% stake in the others for the event should any of us win a spot in the satellite. Come game time everyone is there but Jerry. We all decide to jump in the next satellite rather than wait b/c it is already filling up and no one could get in touch with Jerry. Now, we have 5 in the same satellite along with 4 strangers.
Coming into this, I had a different mindset rather than a normal SNG. With the top 3 getting a buy-in and nothing more, my mindset was just to survive. Don't get into any wars early. Just hope for a big hand and ride with it. Respect the plays of the guys in our Wednesday poker game a little more than the strangers. Sit back and see how the unknowns in the game plays and react accordingly. I've only been playing with the guys from the Wednesday night game for about a year, but here is what I know about them.
Kramer - Ability to switch gears. Loose aggressive to tight aggressive, vice versa.
Ludey - Tight aggressive, very solid. Won't beat himself. Only way to beat him is monster over monster, suck out, or hope he gets blinded out.
Jay - One of the best post-flop players in Wednesday group.
Everett - May be the best overall player in the group. Bankroll shows it.
Myself - Clueless at times, sucks out a lot.
We take our seats and I like my position. I'm to the immediate left of Everett and 2 unknowns to my left. Here is the structure of the tourney. Each players gets 1500 chips, 6 minute blinds, top 3 scores a seat. I would guess 6 online minutes is equivlent to about 15 live minutes, maybe 20.
Everyone is tight the first few hands as expected. Later on in the 1st level, some of us just calls the blinds to test the waters. However, the guy to my immediate left, who we will call BigDonkey, seems to always be in the pot. He was betting or raising/over-raising post or pre flop almost every pot he was in and taking it down. I look up his SNG stats and see he only has 20-something games on his record. My thinking is if he's new to Full Tilt, he may be too loose and it may be hard to get him to fold or off a hand, even with an aggressive bluff. If I get a big hand against him, slow play it. No one has yet to be involved in a big pot though. My time comes. I'm in middle position, blinds 20-40. Look down and see 9-9, and raise the typical 120. Fold-Fold-Fold. Guy in the cutoff re-raises to 360 total. Everyone folds back to me. Not what I wanted, getting involved with a big pot early on. Looking back, I probably should have folded, but I call the 240 more out of position. Flop come A-10-X. Not a good flop for me. I'm ready to give up the hand. In a deep stack game, I may put out a feeler bet to represent an Ace. However, 1/3 of my chips are already gone, but I have enough to play and hope for something better later. I check, he hesitates and checks. Turn, I check, he checks again. Now I'm thinking, why is he checking it down. He either fears the Ace, so he has a hand like JJ, QQ, KK, or has A-K or pocket Aces to slow play. A Queen comes on the river, so now 3 over cards on the board. I check again, and he bets 400. Of course I'm not calling. I'm now down to about 950 chips and am the short stack at the table. The good news is the blinds are still low.
Here is another hand I had to think long and hard about later on. Blinds 30-60. I'm in the small blind. BigDonkey to my left is the big blind and the chip leader. Fold around to Everett, who is on the button. He just calls. I have 6-6. Should I push here. Risk my 900 chips for 120, but the big stack has about 2000-2200 chips to my left, which is not a huge stack considering no one has busted out yet. He's reraised pre-flop a few times against people who have just called the blinds. Do I want the embarassment of risking to be the 1st one out? I decide against it and just call the 30. As I feared, BigDonkey raises. Everrett folds, I think for a second and fold. Maybe if the blinds were bigger I would have shoved.
Around to the 3rd-4th level, it's not looking good for our crew. No one has yet to bust out. The 5 of us are the lowest chip stacks, but not much of a variance in chips for the 3rd-7th stacks. Myself and Kramer are by far the short stacks with about 800-900 chips. Here comes our first battle of the night. Ludey is under the gun and does the standard 3X raise. He hasn't played many pots either. Fold to BigDonkey. He calls. Flop comes J-X-X. I think Ludey checked and BigDonkey bets the pot. Ludey re-raises to all-in. BigDonkey calls. Ludey of course has A-A. Played it beautifully. BigDonkey has Q-J for top pair. Gotta love calling All-Ins with Q-J. However, turn is a Q, river is useless. Ludey is our first casualty. Tough beat for him.
After another round of blinds or so, BigDonkey raises pre-flop. Kramer shoves all-in. Jay in late position thinks long and hard and types he has a good hand. He eventually lays it down. BigDonkey calls Kramer's all-in. Jay said he folded J-J. Have to wonder if Jay would have shoved if it was an unknown and not Kramer that shoved all-in? Kramer has A-K and BigDonkey has 9-9. The board is all rags. BigDonkey knocks out Kramer and has a comfortable chip lead. Litterally, a few hands later, BigDonkey is up against the player I laid down my pocket 9's earlier. I'll call him Canuck b/c he was from Canada. Canuck is 2nd in chips at the time. BigDonkey has at least twice as many chips as Canuck who has about 2200. Everyone else left has less than their original 1500. They get it all in pre-flop. Canuck has A-A, and BigDonkey has Q-Q. BigDonkey gets the suckout and has the monster stack. He could coast for a Top 3 finish now.
Later on, Blinds 60-120 - Everett pissed me off on this hand. Everett small blind, me big blind. Fold around to Everett, he shoves all-in in the small blind. I'm holding A-4. What the hell Everett? I guess there is no gentlemens agreement amongst our crew in this game. Of course I fold, and he shows A-4 for the exact same hand. Very next hand, or maybe another revolution, blinds still the same. I'm in the small blind. Fold around to Everett on the button. He just calls. Well, we were in this scenario earlier. Only this time, I have 2-3. I think about folding, but it's only 60 of my 800. This time BigDonkey checks and I breathe a sigh of relief. Flop comes 5-3-3. Yippee! I'm doing cartwheels in my living room, doing the moonwalk, or whatever. I calmly press 'Check'. Big Donkey bets out 120. Everett folds. Should I just call to milk him some more. I slowly hesitate and wait for the timer warning and shove all-in. BigDonkey calls with A-K. Double Up! Back in the game. Only a dent into BigDonkeys stack though. I don't like he has position on me, but hopefully he'll be smart and just coast to finish in the Top 3, which he could do with his chip stack.
After the double-up, I only have about 1700, but amazingly I'm now 2nd in chips. Everyone else is about even in the 1000-1200 range. Everrett may be the short stack with about 800-900 now. Another big moment comes up with me in the small blind again. One of the unknowns in late position shoves All-In preflop. This is the 2nd time in the past few hands he has done this. He's rarely played in pots. I have 10-10. I think for a little bit. If I call and lose I'm not out, but severly crippled. I have 1700 vs his 1100 and change. 1700 chips is not going to get me into the Top 3, so I decided to man-up and call. He shows 2-2. I'm loving it! Unfortunately, the flop comes J-7-2. I'm now pissed off, cursing up a storm. The turn comes a 9. The miracle 8 comes on the river to give me the straight. I'm jumping for joy, doing a handstand, or whatever. Actually, the action was so fast since it's online, it took me a second to realize I had a straight.
We are now down to 5. Another round or so. BigDonkey has not played a pot and maybe realizes he can coast now. Same situation like earlier comes up again. Everett small blind, I'm big blind. Everett shoves all-in preflop trying to gather my blind. However, I have A-9 and a healthy chip stack and am not laying it down. Everett shows J-9. Board doesn't help him, and we are now down to 4. My goal now is to kind of coast and not to play a pot with Jay hoping he can squeeze into the Top 3 also. Jay is 3rd in chips right now with around 2000. I have about 4800, BigDonkey has about 6500. Short stack has a little over 1000. Blinds getting kind of up there, Jay shoves all-in, BigDonkey calls. Jay has A-K, BigDonkey has J-J. King on the flop. Jay doubles up. Now I'm hoping Jay is thinking like I think, lets just work together to get the short stack out of here. Right when I was thinking it, the short stack is all-in with BigDonkey. BigDonkey has Q-Q, and short stack has A-Q. As many suck outs BigDonkey has had this game, I was rooting for him. There is no Ace on the board and we have our Top 3. Me, Jay, and BigDonkey. 2 out of 3 seats not bad and everyone has a piece of each other.
FTOPS Event #1 starts tonight at 9:00. Looking at the numbers, I just realized there may be 3500-4000 people in this. I would expect it to take 10-12 hours to finish up. Hopefully, me and Jay can represent and use our sick day tomorrow. I'll try to do a blog on playing in it also.
One of the guys (Kramer) wanted to do this satellite with all the guys from our Wednesday night game. He got 6 respondents. We decided we would log into Full Tilt at around 10-10:30 and all jump in the same satellite. Everyone would have a 5% stake in the others for the event should any of us win a spot in the satellite. Come game time everyone is there but Jerry. We all decide to jump in the next satellite rather than wait b/c it is already filling up and no one could get in touch with Jerry. Now, we have 5 in the same satellite along with 4 strangers.
Coming into this, I had a different mindset rather than a normal SNG. With the top 3 getting a buy-in and nothing more, my mindset was just to survive. Don't get into any wars early. Just hope for a big hand and ride with it. Respect the plays of the guys in our Wednesday poker game a little more than the strangers. Sit back and see how the unknowns in the game plays and react accordingly. I've only been playing with the guys from the Wednesday night game for about a year, but here is what I know about them.
Kramer - Ability to switch gears. Loose aggressive to tight aggressive, vice versa.
Ludey - Tight aggressive, very solid. Won't beat himself. Only way to beat him is monster over monster, suck out, or hope he gets blinded out.
Jay - One of the best post-flop players in Wednesday group.
Everett - May be the best overall player in the group. Bankroll shows it.
Myself - Clueless at times, sucks out a lot.
We take our seats and I like my position. I'm to the immediate left of Everett and 2 unknowns to my left. Here is the structure of the tourney. Each players gets 1500 chips, 6 minute blinds, top 3 scores a seat. I would guess 6 online minutes is equivlent to about 15 live minutes, maybe 20.
Everyone is tight the first few hands as expected. Later on in the 1st level, some of us just calls the blinds to test the waters. However, the guy to my immediate left, who we will call BigDonkey, seems to always be in the pot. He was betting or raising/over-raising post or pre flop almost every pot he was in and taking it down. I look up his SNG stats and see he only has 20-something games on his record. My thinking is if he's new to Full Tilt, he may be too loose and it may be hard to get him to fold or off a hand, even with an aggressive bluff. If I get a big hand against him, slow play it. No one has yet to be involved in a big pot though. My time comes. I'm in middle position, blinds 20-40. Look down and see 9-9, and raise the typical 120. Fold-Fold-Fold. Guy in the cutoff re-raises to 360 total. Everyone folds back to me. Not what I wanted, getting involved with a big pot early on. Looking back, I probably should have folded, but I call the 240 more out of position. Flop come A-10-X. Not a good flop for me. I'm ready to give up the hand. In a deep stack game, I may put out a feeler bet to represent an Ace. However, 1/3 of my chips are already gone, but I have enough to play and hope for something better later. I check, he hesitates and checks. Turn, I check, he checks again. Now I'm thinking, why is he checking it down. He either fears the Ace, so he has a hand like JJ, QQ, KK, or has A-K or pocket Aces to slow play. A Queen comes on the river, so now 3 over cards on the board. I check again, and he bets 400. Of course I'm not calling. I'm now down to about 950 chips and am the short stack at the table. The good news is the blinds are still low.
Here is another hand I had to think long and hard about later on. Blinds 30-60. I'm in the small blind. BigDonkey to my left is the big blind and the chip leader. Fold around to Everett, who is on the button. He just calls. I have 6-6. Should I push here. Risk my 900 chips for 120, but the big stack has about 2000-2200 chips to my left, which is not a huge stack considering no one has busted out yet. He's reraised pre-flop a few times against people who have just called the blinds. Do I want the embarassment of risking to be the 1st one out? I decide against it and just call the 30. As I feared, BigDonkey raises. Everrett folds, I think for a second and fold. Maybe if the blinds were bigger I would have shoved.
Around to the 3rd-4th level, it's not looking good for our crew. No one has yet to bust out. The 5 of us are the lowest chip stacks, but not much of a variance in chips for the 3rd-7th stacks. Myself and Kramer are by far the short stacks with about 800-900 chips. Here comes our first battle of the night. Ludey is under the gun and does the standard 3X raise. He hasn't played many pots either. Fold to BigDonkey. He calls. Flop comes J-X-X. I think Ludey checked and BigDonkey bets the pot. Ludey re-raises to all-in. BigDonkey calls. Ludey of course has A-A. Played it beautifully. BigDonkey has Q-J for top pair. Gotta love calling All-Ins with Q-J. However, turn is a Q, river is useless. Ludey is our first casualty. Tough beat for him.
After another round of blinds or so, BigDonkey raises pre-flop. Kramer shoves all-in. Jay in late position thinks long and hard and types he has a good hand. He eventually lays it down. BigDonkey calls Kramer's all-in. Jay said he folded J-J. Have to wonder if Jay would have shoved if it was an unknown and not Kramer that shoved all-in? Kramer has A-K and BigDonkey has 9-9. The board is all rags. BigDonkey knocks out Kramer and has a comfortable chip lead. Litterally, a few hands later, BigDonkey is up against the player I laid down my pocket 9's earlier. I'll call him Canuck b/c he was from Canada. Canuck is 2nd in chips at the time. BigDonkey has at least twice as many chips as Canuck who has about 2200. Everyone else left has less than their original 1500. They get it all in pre-flop. Canuck has A-A, and BigDonkey has Q-Q. BigDonkey gets the suckout and has the monster stack. He could coast for a Top 3 finish now.
Later on, Blinds 60-120 - Everett pissed me off on this hand. Everett small blind, me big blind. Fold around to Everett, he shoves all-in in the small blind. I'm holding A-4. What the hell Everett? I guess there is no gentlemens agreement amongst our crew in this game. Of course I fold, and he shows A-4 for the exact same hand. Very next hand, or maybe another revolution, blinds still the same. I'm in the small blind. Fold around to Everett on the button. He just calls. Well, we were in this scenario earlier. Only this time, I have 2-3. I think about folding, but it's only 60 of my 800. This time BigDonkey checks and I breathe a sigh of relief. Flop comes 5-3-3. Yippee! I'm doing cartwheels in my living room, doing the moonwalk, or whatever. I calmly press 'Check'. Big Donkey bets out 120. Everett folds. Should I just call to milk him some more. I slowly hesitate and wait for the timer warning and shove all-in. BigDonkey calls with A-K. Double Up! Back in the game. Only a dent into BigDonkeys stack though. I don't like he has position on me, but hopefully he'll be smart and just coast to finish in the Top 3, which he could do with his chip stack.
After the double-up, I only have about 1700, but amazingly I'm now 2nd in chips. Everyone else is about even in the 1000-1200 range. Everrett may be the short stack with about 800-900 now. Another big moment comes up with me in the small blind again. One of the unknowns in late position shoves All-In preflop. This is the 2nd time in the past few hands he has done this. He's rarely played in pots. I have 10-10. I think for a little bit. If I call and lose I'm not out, but severly crippled. I have 1700 vs his 1100 and change. 1700 chips is not going to get me into the Top 3, so I decided to man-up and call. He shows 2-2. I'm loving it! Unfortunately, the flop comes J-7-2. I'm now pissed off, cursing up a storm. The turn comes a 9. The miracle 8 comes on the river to give me the straight. I'm jumping for joy, doing a handstand, or whatever. Actually, the action was so fast since it's online, it took me a second to realize I had a straight.
We are now down to 5. Another round or so. BigDonkey has not played a pot and maybe realizes he can coast now. Same situation like earlier comes up again. Everett small blind, I'm big blind. Everett shoves all-in preflop trying to gather my blind. However, I have A-9 and a healthy chip stack and am not laying it down. Everett shows J-9. Board doesn't help him, and we are now down to 4. My goal now is to kind of coast and not to play a pot with Jay hoping he can squeeze into the Top 3 also. Jay is 3rd in chips right now with around 2000. I have about 4800, BigDonkey has about 6500. Short stack has a little over 1000. Blinds getting kind of up there, Jay shoves all-in, BigDonkey calls. Jay has A-K, BigDonkey has J-J. King on the flop. Jay doubles up. Now I'm hoping Jay is thinking like I think, lets just work together to get the short stack out of here. Right when I was thinking it, the short stack is all-in with BigDonkey. BigDonkey has Q-Q, and short stack has A-Q. As many suck outs BigDonkey has had this game, I was rooting for him. There is no Ace on the board and we have our Top 3. Me, Jay, and BigDonkey. 2 out of 3 seats not bad and everyone has a piece of each other.
FTOPS Event #1 starts tonight at 9:00. Looking at the numbers, I just realized there may be 3500-4000 people in this. I would expect it to take 10-12 hours to finish up. Hopefully, me and Jay can represent and use our sick day tomorrow. I'll try to do a blog on playing in it also.
Friday, January 25, 2008
Not Much Going On
With no football this weekend, not much going on in the sports world except for college basketball. This is one of the more boring years of college basketball I can remember. NBA is worthless watching until the playoffs. Can we go ahead and have a Pistons/Celtics and Suns/Spurs conference finals? Hockey has been dead for years. Living in the south my whole life, I never watched it or grew to watch. The sport didn't invest in its community and the younger generation is moving on to other things.
Random Thoughts for the week:
Is this Brady walking boot thing a smoke screen? I watched all of the Chargers-Patriots game and didn't remember seeing an injury. Looks like Vegas isn't buying it b/c the Super Bowl line has not moved much.
I think the 12 point line is too big for the Super Bowl.
Who cares about this Tiger Woods, noose, comments BS. No one cares about golf. Golf is one of those sports people get more enthused as a participant than watching it.
After picking UNC to finish #1 in the ACC and GT to finish last, UNC loses at home and GT reels off 2 in a row. It's still early in the season.
Just got DVR last week and watched more TV this week than I have in a while. Thought the new show 'Moment of Truth', was over-hyped. 'Deal or No Deal' is still fun to watch. 'American Idol' has lost its luster. 'American Gladiators' and 'Celebrity Apprentice' have been surprisingly good. Starting to become addicticted to watching 'Las Vegas'.
Going to the movies on Saturday. Can't decide on 'Bucket List', 'Cloverfield', or 'Rambo'. Have a gut feeling Rambo will be a bomb. Wife wants to see 'Bucket List', but 'Cloverfield' has gotten really good reviews and did well at the box office last week.
Random Thoughts for the week:
Is this Brady walking boot thing a smoke screen? I watched all of the Chargers-Patriots game and didn't remember seeing an injury. Looks like Vegas isn't buying it b/c the Super Bowl line has not moved much.
I think the 12 point line is too big for the Super Bowl.
Who cares about this Tiger Woods, noose, comments BS. No one cares about golf. Golf is one of those sports people get more enthused as a participant than watching it.
After picking UNC to finish #1 in the ACC and GT to finish last, UNC loses at home and GT reels off 2 in a row. It's still early in the season.
Just got DVR last week and watched more TV this week than I have in a while. Thought the new show 'Moment of Truth', was over-hyped. 'Deal or No Deal' is still fun to watch. 'American Idol' has lost its luster. 'American Gladiators' and 'Celebrity Apprentice' have been surprisingly good. Starting to become addicticted to watching 'Las Vegas'.
Going to the movies on Saturday. Can't decide on 'Bucket List', 'Cloverfield', or 'Rambo'. Have a gut feeling Rambo will be a bomb. Wife wants to see 'Bucket List', but 'Cloverfield' has gotten really good reviews and did well at the box office last week.
Thursday, January 17, 2008
UFC 80 Preview - BJ Penn vs Joe Stevenson
I've been following the UFC for the past 2 years. I think Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) is one of the most exciting sports to watch. I remember watching in the early days with Royce Gracie at the frat house in college on our cheater box. I took a sabbatical up until 2006 for UFC: USA vs Canada, when I went to it live in Vegas. I was hooked again. The sport is growing and as time goes by, will evolve even more. I think there should be some rule tweaks, but I'll get into that another day.
Preview: BJ Penn vs Joe Stevenson
BJ Penn is one of my favorite fighters. He has all the tools. Very good at everything: striking, jijitsu, ground n pound, etc. However, his downfall has always been his conditioning. I think he's over his non-conditioning and watching UFC Countdown the other night, he looks very focused. Penn has 4 losses in his career, all to world class fighters (Matt Hughes, GSP, Lyoto Machida, Jens Pulver). He could have very easily won all those fights. I think the BJ Penn domination tour starts this Saturday. Joe Stevenson is a good fighter and I like his attitude, but he's faced nowhere near the competition BJ Penn has faced. I just hope this fight is not a 25 minute hump fest with little action all on the ground. I expect Penn to submit him.
Gabriel Gonzaga vs Fabrico Werdum
Gonzaga has revenge on his mind in this fight. Werdum defeated Gonzaga very early in his career. Both fighters have come a long ways since that fight. Gonzaga moreso than Werdum. Gonzaga shocked the world by beating CroCop. He turns around and looks scared against Couture. I thought Gonzaga should have dominated Couture, but I think nerves got to him. Werdum's last fight was against Andrei Arlovski. It was a lackadasical fight. I thought Werdum could have won the fight if he would have been agressive the whole time. His striking was not that bad. Arlovski looked as if he was fighting not to lose. Both are World Class jijitsu competitors. I think this fight will go the distance. 2 fighters coming off loses usually results into fighting not to lose. I give the edge to Gonzaga. He has the size advantage. Hopefully he'll use his leg kicks more, which he failed to do against Couture in the early part of that fight.
NBA Basketball Pick:
Cleveland/San Antonio Under 181.5
Preview: BJ Penn vs Joe Stevenson
BJ Penn is one of my favorite fighters. He has all the tools. Very good at everything: striking, jijitsu, ground n pound, etc. However, his downfall has always been his conditioning. I think he's over his non-conditioning and watching UFC Countdown the other night, he looks very focused. Penn has 4 losses in his career, all to world class fighters (Matt Hughes, GSP, Lyoto Machida, Jens Pulver). He could have very easily won all those fights. I think the BJ Penn domination tour starts this Saturday. Joe Stevenson is a good fighter and I like his attitude, but he's faced nowhere near the competition BJ Penn has faced. I just hope this fight is not a 25 minute hump fest with little action all on the ground. I expect Penn to submit him.
Gabriel Gonzaga vs Fabrico Werdum
Gonzaga has revenge on his mind in this fight. Werdum defeated Gonzaga very early in his career. Both fighters have come a long ways since that fight. Gonzaga moreso than Werdum. Gonzaga shocked the world by beating CroCop. He turns around and looks scared against Couture. I thought Gonzaga should have dominated Couture, but I think nerves got to him. Werdum's last fight was against Andrei Arlovski. It was a lackadasical fight. I thought Werdum could have won the fight if he would have been agressive the whole time. His striking was not that bad. Arlovski looked as if he was fighting not to lose. Both are World Class jijitsu competitors. I think this fight will go the distance. 2 fighters coming off loses usually results into fighting not to lose. I give the edge to Gonzaga. He has the size advantage. Hopefully he'll use his leg kicks more, which he failed to do against Couture in the early part of that fight.
NBA Basketball Pick:
Cleveland/San Antonio Under 181.5
Wednesday, January 16, 2008
2008 ACC Basketball Predictions
As a Georgia Tech grad and living in North Carolina, you can definitely say I'm in ACC Country. I have always followed ACC basketball, even in my youth in Georgia. I think the ACC will be uneventful this year. There's the North Carolina Tar Heels and Duke Blue Devils, then everyone else. There are a lot of bad teams in the ACC this year, including my GT Yellow Jackets. The ACC is not the dominant conference this year. I don't think there is a dominant conference this year. Right now, it looks as if the Pac-10 is the best conference this year top to bottom, but they aren't dominant either. A lot of major conferences are top heavy like the ACC. This could be a year where we see a lot of mid-majors rise during the NCAA tourney.
Now for my ACC Predictions, yes, I know, we are a game or two into conference play, but pre-season predictions are useless in college basketball with teams relying so much on freshman nowadays. Right now, we have a gauge of some of the teams.
1. North Carolina
2. Duke
3. Clemson
4. Boston College
5. Maryland
6. Virginia
7. Miami
8. Wake Forest
9. Florida State
10. NC State
11. Virginia Tech
12. Georgia Tech
I break the ACC into 4 tiers. UNC is Tier 1. Duke is tier 2. 3 thru 8 is Tier 3. 9 thru 12 is Tier 4. By tiers, I mean each team is ranked in their Tier and I expect them to remain and will not move up or down a tier. Teams 3 thru 8 are the toughest to predict. I'm confident in the tier, but the order was tough to predict. I'm not sure if I can trust Clemson basketball. I think Wake Forest is the wild card of the bunch. They can potentially rise to 3 by the end of the season. They have the right tools. Miami is off to a great start, however, like Clemson, it's hard to trust Miami basketball. Virginia made a good run the second half of the season last year and their best player, Sean Singletary, is back. Could see the same this year. I may have BC up a little high. I've seen them play a couple of times and am not impressed. I would not be surprise if they falter the 2nd half of the season. Maryland is an anomaly. You just don't know which Maryland team shows up each night. Yes, I'm putting my boys (GT) last. I think this is a very bad, undisciplined team. I'm not going into detail right now. That's for another blog.
PICKS FOR TONIGHT (1/16):
Virginia Tech +5.5
Georgia Tech +11
Orlando Magic -1
Now for my ACC Predictions, yes, I know, we are a game or two into conference play, but pre-season predictions are useless in college basketball with teams relying so much on freshman nowadays. Right now, we have a gauge of some of the teams.
1. North Carolina
2. Duke
3. Clemson
4. Boston College
5. Maryland
6. Virginia
7. Miami
8. Wake Forest
9. Florida State
10. NC State
11. Virginia Tech
12. Georgia Tech
I break the ACC into 4 tiers. UNC is Tier 1. Duke is tier 2. 3 thru 8 is Tier 3. 9 thru 12 is Tier 4. By tiers, I mean each team is ranked in their Tier and I expect them to remain and will not move up or down a tier. Teams 3 thru 8 are the toughest to predict. I'm confident in the tier, but the order was tough to predict. I'm not sure if I can trust Clemson basketball. I think Wake Forest is the wild card of the bunch. They can potentially rise to 3 by the end of the season. They have the right tools. Miami is off to a great start, however, like Clemson, it's hard to trust Miami basketball. Virginia made a good run the second half of the season last year and their best player, Sean Singletary, is back. Could see the same this year. I may have BC up a little high. I've seen them play a couple of times and am not impressed. I would not be surprise if they falter the 2nd half of the season. Maryland is an anomaly. You just don't know which Maryland team shows up each night. Yes, I'm putting my boys (GT) last. I think this is a very bad, undisciplined team. I'm not going into detail right now. That's for another blog.
PICKS FOR TONIGHT (1/16):
Virginia Tech +5.5
Georgia Tech +11
Orlando Magic -1
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